Framework library · Competitive and market analysis
Porter's Five Forces
Five forces decide how much of the value an industry creates is kept by its companies: rivalry between them, the power of buyers and of suppliers, the threat of new entrants and the threat of substitutes. The strongest force sets the ceiling on profitability, and strategy is mostly about positioning against it.
Use it when
- You are deciding whether to enter, stay in or invest more in an industry.
- Margins are under pressure and you need to know which force is squeezing them.
- You want to see how a change, such as a new technology or regulation, shifts profit between players.
Avoid it when
- You need to analyse one company's strengths. The forces describe an industry, not a firm.
- The industry boundary is unclear. Draw it first (product and geography) or the forces will be about a different business.
- You need numbers. The forces are qualitative. Pair them with market sizing and the companies' own filings.
How to run it
Define the industry
Product scope and geography. "US fixed broadband to homes" is an industry; "connectivity" is not.
Rate each force with evidence
Score how true each statement is of this industry today, and note the evidence: concentration figures, switching costs, prices, filings.
Find the strongest force
The force with the highest score usually sets the limit on margins. It is where strategy has to answer.
Look for movement
Write which forces are getting stronger or weaker over the next three years, and why. Most of the strategic value is in the trend, not the snapshot.
Position against the forces
Find where the business can sit so the strongest forces bear on it least: a segment with weaker buyers, a supplier relationship with options, a product substitutes cannot match.
Work through it
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Mistakes to avoid
- Listing factors without rating them. The output should say which force matters most.
- Treating complementors and government as a sixth force. Porter treats them as factors that act through the five.
- Doing it once. The forces move, and the analysis is worth most when repeated.
Where it comes from
Michael E. Porter, "How Competitive Forces Shape Strategy", Harvard Business Review, March to April 1979; developed in Competitive Strategy (1980) and restated in "The Five Competitive Forces That Shape Strategy", Harvard Business Review, January 2008. Source.
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