Analysis · Non-terrestrial · part 4 of 5

High-altitude platforms

A platform held at about 20 km has something a satellite cannot offer: the link budget of a tall tower over a footprint the size of a region, which lets it serve ordinary phones in ordinary mobile bands. WRC-23 wrote the international rules for doing that. The price remains unwritten. No operator has published a commercial service or a unit cost, and the nearest thing to either is SoftBank’s trial service off Japan in August and September 2026.

Blue Prysm · Analysis216 km across at 10°

Sources: ITU, WRC-23 Provisional Final Acts (Resolutions 213, 218 and 221, the HIBS footnotes and the WRC-27 and WRC-31 agendas), with the final footnote numbers from ComReg’s frequency plan for 5.312B, 5.314A and 5.409A; 3GPP RP-262210 (RAN#113, September 2026), TS 38.104 clause 5.2 and TR 38.914; FCC 24-16 (26 January 2024); Japan’s MIC releases of 14 November 2025 and 3 February 2026; AeroVironment’s FY2024 10-K; SoftBank’s releases of 26 June 2025 and 2 September 2026 and its news of 26 September 2025; Sceye’s release of 9 September 2026; AALTO on its 67-day flight and its Kenya 4G test; the HAPS JAPAN investment release (3 June 2024) and AALTO’s Australia release (16 February 2026). Trade press: IEEE Spectrum on Sceye (28 March 2026), Via Satellite on Telkomsel (2 March 2026), Telecoms.com on the 2028 launch (4 March 2026), DCD on HAPSMobile (24 July 2023), Via Satellite on Loon (22 January 2021), Reuters via Investing.com on Stratospheric Platforms (19 October 2020). Retrieved 7 Oct 2026.

A platform at 20 km has a tower’s link budget and a region’s footprint

A platform at 20 km flies at a twenty-fourth of the height of Starlink’s main shells at 480 km, and that one ratio is the argument for putting a base station there.

Directly below a platform at 20 km a signal arrives in 0.067 ms, as near to instant as makes no difference to a phone. At 2 GHz the free-space loss over those 20 km is 124.5 dB; over the 550 km to a low-orbit satellite overhead it is 153.3 dB. The platform starts 28.8 dB ahead, about 760 times the power, and that margin lets an unmodified phone work with it in a terrestrial mobile band at terrestrial power.

Reach is what the height costs. At 10° minimum elevation a platform serves a disc 216 km across, about 36,600 km², a region rather than a country. Covering the Earth once would take at least 16,865 platforms, against 85 satellites at 480 km (part 1). A platform is a regional asset, and the size of the region depends on how low over the horizon its users can look (Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1Lowering the minimum elevation from 30° to 5° widens one platform’s coverage from 3,700 to 118,400 km²
Minimum elevationGround radiusDiameterAreaLongest path to a user
5°194 km388 km118,400 km²195 km
10°108 km216 km36,600 km²110 km
15°73 km146 km16,700 km²76 km
20°54 km108 km9,200 km²58 km
30°34 km69 km3,700 km²40 km

The “up to 200 km in diameter” SoftBank gives for one platform, and Space Compass’s “100 to 200 km”, correspond to a minimum elevation of about 11°. Stratospheric Platforms’ 15,000 km² per platform corresponds to about 15° to 16°.

Source: spherical-Earth geometry, R = 6,371 km, platform at 20 km; free-space loss at 2 GHz, 20 log10(4πd/λ) (Calculated). SoftBank News, 26 September 2025; Space Compass, 3 March 2025; DCD, 4 March 2022 (Reported).

WRC-23 settled the international rules

The ITU has a name for a platform used as a mobile base station, HIBS, and WRC-23 in Dubai wrote its rules. They are now in the Radio Regulations (Exhibit 2).

The Radio Regulations define a high-altitude platform station as one “located on an object at an altitude of 20 to 50 km and at a specified, nominal, fixed point relative to the Earth”. The three HIBS resolutions narrow that window and lower it, to platforms “operating between 18 km and 25 km”, and Resolution 221 notes that transmissions “may occur at altitudes down to 18 km”. The two definitions overlap rather than coincide, which matters later. Four conditions attach to every identification.

  • Optional. Each identification is optional for administrations and “does not establish priority”.
  • Unprotected. A platform cannot “claim protection from existing primary services”.
  • Power-capped. Each resolution caps the power-flux density a platform may put on another country’s territory, for instance −114 dB(W/(m²·MHz)) to protect mobile stations at 694 to 960 MHz.
  • Enforceable. Notification requires “a firm, objective, actionable, measurable and enforceable commitment” to remove unacceptable interference immediately.
Exhibit 2WRC-23 identified mobile bands from 694 MHz to 2.69 GHz for platform base stations, with reception-only and transmission-only sub-bands
BandWhereFootnote and resolutionDirection limits
694 to 960 MHz (698 to 960 MHz in Region 2), or parts of itRegions 1 and 25.312B; Res. 213 (WRC-23)694 to 728, 830 to 835 and 805.3 to 806.9 MHz: reception by the platform only
698 to 960 MHz, or four sub-bands of itRegion 3, named countries only: the whole band in Australia and five other states; four sub-bands in China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand5.314A; Res. 213 (WRC-23)698 to 728 and 830 to 835 MHz: reception only
1,710 to 1,980, 2,010 to 2,025 and 2,110 to 2,170 MHzRegions 1 and 3; in Region 2, 1,710 to 1,980 and 2,110 to 2,160 MHz5.388A; Res. 221 (Rev.WRC-23)1,710 to 1,785 MHz (1,710 to 1,815 MHz in Region 3): reception only; 2,110 to 2,170 MHz: transmission only
2,500 to 2,690 MHz (2,500 to 2,655 MHz in Region 3)All regions5.409A; Res. 218 (WRC-23)2,500 to 2,510 MHz (2,500 to 2,535 MHz in Region 3): reception only

Region 1 is Europe, Africa and the Middle East; Region 2 the Americas; Region 3 Asia and the Pacific. Fixed-service bands for the platforms’ links to the ground were identified at earlier conferences, and WRC-23 revised most of their footnotes editorially: 21.4 to 22 and 24.25 to 27.5 GHz in Region 2, 31 to 31.3 and 38 to 39.5 GHz worldwide, and 47.2 to 47.5 and 47.9 to 48.2 GHz.

Source: WRC-23 Provisional Final Acts, MOD 5.388A, ADD 5.14A to 5.14C, Resolutions 213 and 218 (WRC-23) and 221 (Rev.WRC-23); Radio Regulations, Edition of 2024, and ComReg’s frequency plan for the final footnote numbers; TS 38.104 Release 19, clause 5.2 (Filed).

Nothing more is coming from the ITU. The WRC-27 agenda adopted at WRC-23 has nineteen items, 1.1 to 1.19, and none concerns high-altitude platforms. The preliminary WRC-31 agenda has none either; its item 2.5 is about phones used aboard aircraft, a different matter. The international rulebook is settled until at least 2031, and the work has moved to national licensing and to 3GPP.

The United States has written no rules, and the one time it looked at the question it said no. The FCC asked in 2021 whether to admit high-altitude platforms to the 70/80/90 GHz bands. In FCC 24-16 of January 2024 it declined, finding “highly divergent claims” about integrating the platforms into those bands, “with limited actual data to support such action”. The footnotes say more than the finding. They record that the only advocate to file a detailed technical study, Loon, “shuttered in early 2021”, and quote T-Mobile, which told the Commission there was “little current documented interest in those services and, unlike 5G, no deployment”.

To 7 October 2026 there is no FCC rulemaking and no US Table footnote implementing the WRC-23 identifications. Japan is moving quickly the other way. Its Information and Communications Council delivered a partial report on technical requirements for the platforms on 14 November 2025. MIC consulted on a draft ordinance from December 2025 to January 2026, and the Radio Regulatory Council found the drafts appropriate on 3 February 2026. The published documents give neither the bands nor the date the rules take effect, so Japan is writing rules whose content is not yet public.

The standard treats a platform as a base station that flies

3GPP never wrote a satellite specification for the platforms and did not need to. TS 38.104, the base-station radio specification, says in Release 19 that seventeen terrestrial bands, from n1 to n90, “can be applied for HAPS operation” (Exhibit 3). The SoftBank-led item that added them notes that “HAPS can be supported using terrestrial network (TN) functionality available in Rel-17”. To the standard, a platform is a terrestrial base station with an altitude, in terrestrial spectrum, and it needs none of the satellite bands in part 5. The 6G study, TR 38.914, lists it among the non-terrestrial components 6G must support.

Exhibit 33GPP specifies a platform as a terrestrial base station and is now adding bands to manage its interference
DocumentDateWhat it says about platforms
TS 38.104, clause 5.2Release 19Seventeen terrestrial bands “can be applied for HAPS operation”: n1, n2, n3, n5, n7, n8, n20, n25, n26, n28, n34, n38, n39, n41, n67, n85 and n90
NR_HAPS_bands work item, SoftBankApproved September 2024, completed March 2025“HAPS can be supported using terrestrial network (TN) functionality available in Rel-17”
RP-262210, China Telecom, SoftBank and CICTApproved at RAN#113, Madrid, 14 to 17 September 2026; due March 2027Reports “severe co-channel interference (CCI)” where a platform and terrestrial cells share a low band such as n5 at 800 MHz; adds supplementary-uplink bands, such as n89, for a platform with a mid-band downlink
TR 38.914, the 6G studyJune 2026Lists HAPS among the non-terrestrial components 6G must support

Source: 3GPP TS 38.104 clause 5.2 (Release 19); 3GPP work plan and the NR_HAPS_bands work item; RP-262210 (September 2026); TR 38.914 V20.0.0 (June 2026) (Filed).

In September 2026 operator field evidence entered the 3GPP record, and it concerned interference rather than coverage. RP-262210, approved at RAN#113 in Madrid, comes from China Telecom, SoftBank and CICT. Its justification says that where a terrestrial network and a platform share a low band such as n5 at 800 MHz in the same area, “severe co-channel interference (CCI) occurs”. The cause is the platform’s height. The same thing that lets it reach a phone means its downlink “creates a massive line-of-sight (LOS) interference region” that degrades the terrestrial cells beneath it. The remedy the item specifies, due by March 2027, is to split the platform across two bands. Its downlink goes in mid-band, such as 2.1 GHz, and its uplink stays low on bands such as n89 at 800 MHz, because “closing the uplink budget at 2.1GHz is extremely challenging”.

The same height that lets a platform reach an unmodified phone by line of sight puts its signal into every cell for a hundred kilometres around. The only operator field evidence in the standards record is about that problem rather than about coverage, and the remedy splits the platform across two bands. In our view a carrier cannot drop a platform into the low band its towers already use and expect it to behave; it needs a frequency plan first.

No programme has reached a commercial service

The platforms that have flown longest belong to companies that have never sold a service, and every commercial date on the record is still in the future (Exhibits 4 and 5).

Exhibit 4No stratospheric programme has reached a commercial service, and the next dated ones are 2027 and 2028
20212022202320242025202620272028202920307 Oct 2026Loon (Alphabet)closed, Jan 2021HAPSMobileabsorbed by SoftBank, Oct 2023fixed-wing, 2029 or laterAALTO Zephyr67-day flight, Apr 2025Japan, 2026Indonesia, 2028 onSoftBank with Sceyetrial service, Aug 2026commercial, 2027 onhappeneddate promisedclosed

Source: AALTO and Space Compass releases (June 2024, March to May 2025), Via Satellite and Telecoms.com (March 2026); SoftBank releases (June 2025, September 2025, 2 September 2026); DCD (24 July 2023); Via Satellite on Loon (22 January 2021) (Reported).

Exhibit 5Of five platform programmes on the record, one has closed and none sells a service
PlatformType and altitudeLongest flight on the recordStatus, 7 Oct 2026
AALTO Zephyr, Airbus majoritySolar fixed-wing, 25 m span, 75 kg; “above 60,000+ feet”67 days, 6 hours and 52 minutes, February to April 20254G link to a phone from about 20 km in Kenya, March 2025, at “more than 4.66 Mbps”; Japan service targeted for 2026 not announced by 7 Oct 2026; Telkomsel agreement: initial operations from 2027, commercial “from 2028 onwards”
Sceye, SoftBank exclusive in JapanHelium airship; 16.5 to 17 km in 2026, 20 km designNearly 30,000 km, New Mexico to Japan and back, from 9 Aug 2026; over the continental US again on 4 SepSoftBank trial service off Cape Muroto, August to September 2026; commercial service “from 2027 onward”
Sunglider, SoftBank’s HAPSMobileSolar fixed-wing, 78 m span; 62,500 ft (about 19 km) in 20205 hours 38 minutes in the stratosphere, SoftBank’s figure for the 2020 testHAPSMobile absorbed by SoftBank on 1 Oct 2023; fixed-wing service “around 2029 or later”
Stratospheric Platforms, Deutsche Telekom 38% in 2020Hydrogen fixed-wing, 60 m span planned; trials at 14 km on a Grob aircraftNine days plannedNo status on the record for 2025 or 2026
Loon, AlphabetBalloons in the stratosphere321 days, one balloonClosed January 2021

All figures are the companies’ own or trade reports of them. A 20-hour total flight is reported elsewhere for the same Sunglider test; SoftBank’s figure is for time in the stratosphere.

Source: AALTO releases, March and May 2025; Sceye, 9 September 2026; SoftBank, 26 June 2025, 26 September 2025 and 2 September 2026; Via Satellite and Telecoms.com, March 2026; DCD, 24 July 2023; Reuters, 19 October 2020; Via Satellite, 22 January 2021 (Reported).

The flight records point the same way (Exhibit 6). The longest belongs to Loon, which closed. The longest by a company still flying belongs to AALTO, which has sold no service. The nearest thing to a service on the record is SoftBank’s trial, set out below.

Exhibit 6The longest stratospheric flight on the record belongs to the programme that closed
0100200300400Loon balloon, closed Jan 2021Loon balloon, closed Jan 2021: 321 days321 daysAALTO Zephyr, Feb to Apr 2025AALTO Zephyr, Feb to Apr 2025: 67 days67 daysStratospheric Platforms, plannedStratospheric Platforms, planned: 9 days9 daysSoftBank Sunglider, 2020SoftBank Sunglider, 2020: 5 h 38 min in the stratosphere5 h 38 min in the stratosphere

Source: Via Satellite, 22 January 2021; AALTO release, May 2025; Reuters via Investing.com, 19 October 2020; SoftBank HAPS page (Reported). Note: Sceye’s 2026 flight is given as a distance, nearly 30,000 km, in Exhibit 5.

No operator has published a cost or a revenue

No operator has published what a platform costs to build or to fly, or what a service earns, and the two data points that exist are a closure and an absorption. Loon’s chief executive said on its closure that “we haven’t found a way to get the costs low enough to build a long-term, sustainable business”. HAPSMobile lost ¥448 million in the year to March 2023, on ¥37 million of assets, before SoftBank absorbed it on 1 October 2023.

One transaction price exists. AeroVironment’s 10-K records that in March 2022 it “sold its 7 % equity interest in HAPSMobile to SoftBank, for 808,008,000 yen ($ 6,497,000)”; the same note calls the stake “approximately 7 %”. At 7% the price values the whole company at about ¥11.5 billion, or about $93 million (our calculation). On the funding side, HAPS JAPAN, led by NTT Docomo and Space Compass with Mizuho and the Development Bank of Japan, committed $100 million to AALTO in June 2024, subject to approvals. SoftBank has not disclosed its stake in Sceye.

¥808M

AeroVironment’s approximately 7% of HAPSMobile, March 2022

≈$93M

Implied value of all of HAPSMobile at 7%

¥448M

HAPSMobile’s loss in the year to March 2023

$100M

HAPS JAPAN commitment to AALTO, June 2024

Filed AeroVironment Form 10-K for FY2024, filed 27 Jun 2024, note on the investment in HAPSMobile; implied value calculated by Blue Prysm

Reported DCD, 24 Jul 2023 (HAPSMobile loss and assets) · HAPS JAPAN and AALTO release, 3 Jun 2024 · SoftBank, 2 Sep 2026

That leaves footprint against footprint as the only comparison available with low orbit. One platform serves 9,200 to 36,600 km² continuously, depending on whether its users look down to 20° or 10° above the horizon. The companies claim more: one platform replaces 200 terrestrial towers, says Stratospheric Platforms (2020), or covers the area of about 500, says Sceye (2026). The structural difference is larger. A constellation has to reach global scale before it serves any region continuously, while a platform serves one region from its first day and never more. In our view that makes it an operator’s layer, in the operator’s own spectrum, for disaster recovery, islands and mountains, rather than a broadband network that competes with Starlink or Amazon Leo. Whether it is a cheap layer or an expensive one cannot yet be said, because no published figure allows a cost per gigabyte or per square kilometre to be set beside either.

Terms used

  • HAPS and HIBS. A high-altitude platform station is any radio station on a platform at 20 to 50 km. HIBS is the ITU’s term for one used as a mobile base station, under conditions written for 18 to 25 km.
  • Power-flux density. The power arriving per square metre at the ground, which is the measure the Radio Regulations use to cap interference into a neighbouring country.
  • Supplementary uplink. A band used only for the uplink, paired with a downlink in another band. The device can then transmit low, where its signal travels further, and receive high, where there is more capacity.
  • Station-keeping. Holding a platform over a fixed point against the wind. The radius it holds decides how stable the cells beneath it are.

Implications

Carrier strategist

Plan the frequencies before you fly. A platform is a layer you would own, over a region you choose, in spectrum you already hold. The one piece of field evidence in the standards record says that putting it in the low band your towers use brings severe co-channel interference into those towers. Watch Japan rather than the United States. The FCC has written no rules and opened no proceeding on the WRC-23 bands, while Japan’s Radio Regulatory Council approved a draft ordinance on 3 February 2026.

Investor

Model SoftBank’s 2027 date with Loon’s closure on cost and HAPSMobile’s absorption beside it. There is no revenue, no unit cost and one transaction price on the record, AeroVironment’s stake of approximately 7% in HAPSMobile, which valued the whole company at about $93 million in 2022. AALTO’s 2026 service in Japan had not been announced by 7 October, and its next dated service is Indonesia from 2028.

Vendor

Design for the airframe, because the radio is settled. It is a terrestrial base station in terrestrial bands, in TS 38.104 since Release 19, with supplementary-uplink combinations due by March 2027, so there is little to differentiate there. What varies is what the platform can lift. Zephyr weighs 75 kg in all, while IEEE Spectrum reports Sceye payloads of up to 250 kg tested, so power and mass per cell decide which designs fit on which platform.

Method and limits

How this was built

The bands, the footnotes and the conditions are read from the WRC-23 Provisional Final Acts themselves. The final footnote numbers are confirmed in the Radio Regulations, Edition of 2024, in a national frequency plan and in 3GPP TS 38.104, which cites them. The 3GPP position comes from the specification and from the work item descriptions, with nothing taken from secondary accounts. The footprints are calculated for a platform at 20 km over a spherical Earth of radius 6,371 km, and the path loss is free-space loss at 2 GHz.

What it does not show

Programme dates, flight records and coverage claims are the companies’ own and are reported unverified. No operator has published a unit cost, a capital or operating cost per platform, or any service revenue, so a cost comparison with a satellite constellation is not yet possible. The 3GPP interference statement describes an operator field trial that has not itself been published, so the conclusion is known and the data are not. Japan’s published HAPS documents are the council report, the draft ordinance and its approval, and they give neither the bands nor the date the rules take effect.

Data as of: ITU and 3GPP documents, the FCC order and company releases as dated, read 7 Oct 2026 · Method version 1.0.

Found an error? Tell us. Corrections are published on the piece that carried them.

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