Analysis · AI in operations · part 4 of 5
What the standards add
Ask what the standards give an operator to build an AI programme on and the answer has two halves. 3GPP has specified where a network’s analytics data comes from, how a model is trained, monitored and rolled back, and what each autonomy level means. What it has barely specified is anything that lets one vendor’s model work inside another vendor’s network. And every result that would show any of this paying is held by an operator or a vendor, not by a standards body.
Sources: 3GPP release descriptions TR 21.916 to TR 21.919; the specification archives for TS 23.288, TS 28.104, TS 28.105, TS 28.100 V19.0.0, TR 38.843 and TR 38.864; 3GPP’s NWDAF page, AI/ML for NR page and Release 19 page; the O-RAN Alliance’s publication note of 27 February 2026; AT&T on its third-party rApp (30 July 2025); Ericsson on Swisscom (23 February 2026); Telecom Reseller on the AI-generated rApp (19 February 2026); Light Reading on xApps, rApp marketplaces and Verizon; TelecomLead on Verizon’s energy RIC; TM Forum Inform on China Mobile’s target (10 August 2023); China Mobile’s 2024 annual results and 2026 interim chairman’s statement; Developing Telecoms on DTW 2026; Operator Watch on Telefónica; Fierce on the TM Forum survey; Bain with TM Forum; the AI-RAN Alliance (26 February 2026); the GSMA on its telecom model benchmarks. Read 7 Oct 2026.
Every 3GPP release since 2019 has added something an AI programme can use
Three groups inside 3GPP write the parts of the standard an AI programme uses, and it helps to keep them apart. The core-network groups define where analytics data comes from and how a model may be shared. The management group defines how a model is trained, tested, deployed, monitored and rolled back. The radio groups define where a model may live in the air interface, and the signals that let a cell save energy (Exhibit 1).
| Release | Core network | Management | Radio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rel-15 | NWDAF specified in the first 5G release | ||
| Rel-16 (TS 23.288 v16.0.0, June 2019) | Data collected from network functions, applications and OAM; outputs as statistics and predictions | ||
| Rel-17 (v17.0.0, March 2021) | Training and inference split; model sharing “limited to single vendor environments” | Analytics for coverage, faults and energy saving (TS 28.104, June 2022); ML training; autonomy levels | |
| Rel-18 (v18.0.0, December 2022) | Accuracy monitoring of models and analytics, from v18.1.0 (March 2023); federated learning | Full AI/ML life cycle (TS 28.105); energy-saving predictions | AI/ML study TR 38.843; AI/ML for energy saving, load balancing and mobility; energy-saving signalling |
| Rel-19 (implementable from December 2025) | Vertical federated learning; QoS and policy from predicted experience | Learning on the live network with degradation thresholds and fallback actions; software upgrade validation | One-sided models for beam management, positioning and CSI prediction; on-demand SSB and SIB1 |
| Rel-20 (in progress) | Two-sided models for CSI compression |
Dates are TS 23.288 version dates from the 3GPP archive. Release 19’s date is 3GPP’s own statement that its specifications were “fully implementable” at the end of December 2025.
Source: 3GPP TR 21.916, 21.917, 21.918 and 21.919; TS 23.288, 28.104 and 28.105 archives; 3GPP NWDAF and Release 19 pages (Filed).
The core got its analytics function in 2019 and a way to check it in 2023
The network data analytics function, NWDAF, was “specified from the 5G’s initial Release (Rel-15)”, in 3GPP’s own words, and its specification, TS 23.288, reached version 16.0.0 in June 2019. Release 16 said what it collects and what it puts out. Release 17 split model training from inference, added functions to coordinate data collection and store analytics, and allowed “Trained data model sharing between multiple NWDAF instances, limited to single vendor environments”. Release 18 added federated learning in version 18.0.0 of December 2022 and then, in version 18.1.0 of March 2023, the means to compute “the accuracy of the ML models and analytics”. Release 19 added vertical federated learning and policy recommendations driven by predicted quality of experience.
Two of those dates matter more than the others (Exhibit 2). The first is March 2023, because a standard way to check whether a model in the core is still accurate arrived almost four years after the specification’s first full version. Until then an operator could run a model but had no standard way of knowing whether it had drifted. The second is March 2021, when sharing a trained model between vendors was written out of Release 17. Put the two together and a multi-vendor analytics estate built on NWDAF is recent territory for the standard, and we have found no operator that has published a result from a commercial NWDAF deployment.
Source: 3GPP specification archive for TS 23.288, TS 28.104, TS 28.105 and TS 28.100; 3GPP releases page for the Release 18 functional freeze and the Release 19 page for “fully implementable” (Filed); AT&T release of 30 July 2025 (Reported). Note: dates are the archive dates of each version.
The radio study recommended the uses one vendor can build alone
The air-interface study, TR 38.843, was approved in December 2023, and its conclusions are as interesting for what they decline as for what they recommend. On compressing channel-state information with a two-sided model: “From RAN1 perspective, there is no consensus on the recommendation of CSI compression for normative work”. The reasons given are the “Trade-off between performance and complexity/overhead” and “Issues related to inter-vendor training collaboration”. On predicting channel state there was no consensus either, for “Lack of results on the performance gain over non-AI/ML based approach and associated complexity”. What the study did recommend for normative work was beam prediction and positioning, both of which one vendor can build at one end of the link.
Release 19 then gave “normative support for a general framework of one-sided (at the gNB or UE sides) AI/ML models as well as … beam management, positioning enhancements and CSI prediction”. Offline training is assumed for positioning. The two-sided model went to a Release 20 work item instead (Exhibit 3). 6G part 8 covers that alongside the rest of the AI-native argument.
Source: 3GPP RP-240774 (Release 19), RP-251870 (Release 20) and RP-251881 (6G study); vendor and operator positions as cited in 6G part 8 of this site’s analysis (Filed and Reported as marked there). Note: the one-sided row is what Release 19 specified; the two-sided row is the Release 20 work item; AI-RAN compute is outside 3GPP.
For operations the relevant radio items are smaller and more useful. Release 18 specified AI/ML in the radio access network for energy saving, load balancing and mobility, with an “Energy Cost” index that base stations exchange with one another. Release 19 extended the work to slicing and to coverage and capacity optimisation. The energy work adds signalling rather than intelligence, and the distinction matters. Release 18 specified cell discontinuous transmission and reception, secondary cells without synchronisation blocks and the barring of older devices. Release 19 added synchronisation and system information on demand, woken by a device’s uplink signal. Each of those is a hook that lets a scheduler put more of a cell to sleep. The decision about when to sleep, which is where the AI lives, stays with the vendor or the operator. That is why part 3 found its energy results in company announcements rather than in specifications.
The radio standard has adopted the AI uses one vendor can implement alone, at one end of the link, and sent the uses that need two vendors to agree off to a later release. So the near-term AI value in the RAN arrives as software bought from the operator’s existing RAN vendor.
The management plane now names the controls a kill gate needs
The management specifications are where the standard meets the kill gate. Management data analytics, TS 28.104, was first published for Release 17 in June 2022 and covers coverage, fault and energy-saving analytics. The AI/ML management specification, TS 28.105, covered training in Release 17 and grew to the whole life cycle in Release 18: training, testing, emulation, deployment and inference. Release 19 adds reinforcement learning, and with it a set of named controls (Exhibit 4).
The autonomy levels belong to the same family of documents. TS 28.100 defines six levels, from L0, manual, to L5, full, across five kinds of task. L4 is the level at which “All the execution, awareness, analysis and decision tasks are accomplished automatically by telecom system itself. And intent handling tasks can be partly accomplished automatically”. Its first note settles who wins when a person and the system disagree, and the answer is the person.
- Degradation thresholds. TS 28.105 Release 19 adds “tolerable degradation thresholds” for a model that learns on the live network: how far it may slip before something happens.
- Fallback actions. The same release adds “fallback actions”, which is what happens when a threshold is crossed.
- Environment type. A reinforcement-learning model has to declare its “RL environment type (simulation or real network)”, so that nobody mistakes one for the other.
- Software upgrade validation. TS 28.104 Release 19 adds “Software upgrade validation” to management data analytics.
- Human authority. TS 28.100 note 1: “Human reviewed decision have the highest authority in each level if there is any confliction between human reviewed decision and telecom system generated decision”.
Source: 3GPP TR 21.919 v19.0.0 for the TS 28.104 and TS 28.105 Release 19 content; TS 28.100 V19.0.0 (September 2025), note 1 (Filed).
So the standard now writes down what a kill gate needs for a model that learns on a live network. It names a degradation that counts as tolerable, an action to fall back to, and a human decision that overrides the system at every level. None of that is new thinking. Part 5 shows why each of those controls was needed long before AI came into it.
One third-party rApp runs in a live network, and nobody has published what it did
O-RAN’s specification set reached 147 unique titles by February 2026, 71 of them new or updated since November 2025. It includes an A1 service for managing ML models and conformance tests for rApps. That is a lot of paper. The adoption record is short by comparison (Exhibit 5). AT&T announced on 30 July 2025 that it had become “the first CSP globally to deploy a third-party rApp to optimize its live production network”, on Ericsson’s automation platform. It did not name the developer and it has not published a result. Every other entry in Exhibit 5 is a validation, a test environment or a vendor’s own figure.
| What | Who | Status | Result published | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Third-party rApp in a live production network | AT&T, on Ericsson’s automation platform | Live; developer not named | None | 30 Jul 2025 |
| Three Ericsson rApps | Swisscom | “in validation” | None | 23 Feb 2026 |
| rApps on Ericsson’s platform | Ericsson | Nearly 90, 25 of them Ericsson’s own | n/a | 23 Feb 2026 |
| rApp generated by AI for AT&T | AT&T with Ericsson | Test environment, not the live network | None | Feb 2026 |
| AI energy manager on a RIC | Samsung at Verizon; TelecomLead reports Qualcomm’s RIC | Deployed | Vendor’s own: 15% on average, 35% maximum per sector | Feb 2025 |
| Near-real-time RIC and xApps | Ericsson; Samsung; Omdia | Ericsson: “The functionality of xApps is provided by the RAN itself”; Omdia: “To date, live deployments are limited” | None | Dec 2024; Feb 2025 |
| O-RAN specification set | O-RAN Alliance | 147 unique titles, 71 new or updated since November 2025; A1 service for ML models; rApp conformance tests | n/a | 27 Feb 2026 |
Source: AT&T release (30 July 2025); Ericsson release on Swisscom (23 February 2026); Telecom Reseller on the AI-generated rApp (February 2026); Samsung blog (26 February 2025) and TelecomLead; Light Reading on xApps (5 December 2024) and rApp marketplaces (4 February 2025); O-RAN Alliance publication note (27 February 2026) (Reported).
The near-real-time controller and its xApps have done worse. Ericsson told Light Reading in December 2024 that the RAN itself provides what xApps would, and Samsung saw no near-term path for a standalone near-real-time RIC. Omdia found live deployments limited in February 2025. The clearest RIC-hosted use with an operator’s name on a number is Samsung’s energy manager at Verizon, which TelecomLead reports runs on Qualcomm’s RIC. Part 3 marks its figures as the vendor’s own. Our reading is that an operator planning AI in the RAN is buying from its RAN vendor, whatever the architecture diagram shows.
Autonomy levels are self-assessed
Autonomy levels are the industry’s scoreboard for operational AI, and every score on the board was awarded by the operator to itself (Exhibit 6).
Source: 3GPP TS 28.100 V19.0.0 for the levels (Filed). China Mobile: TM Forum Inform (10 August 2023) and its interim chairman’s statement (13 August 2026); Telefónica: Operator Watch (8 September 2026); Verizon: Light Reading (24 June 2026) (Reported). Note: filled is reported, hollow a target, the band a stated range; every level is self-assessed.
China Mobile set the boldest target. Its Lingli Deng told TM Forum Inform in August 2023: “We are targeting Level 4 by 2025 for almost all the services that we are currently providing”, at a time when its production average was 2.85. Its 2024 results said the network “has already reached an advanced level (L4) of smart autonomy in some scenarios”. The interim chairman’s statement of 13 August 2026 says “Autonomous networks achieved L4-level capabilities in 21 high-value scenarios”, with 38 planned over three years. Notice what happened to the unit. The target was written in services, the result comes back in scenarios, and no document we read gives an average. Telefónica reports a group average of 3.42 at the end of 2025, up from about 1.1 five years earlier, with targets of 3.75 by 2028 and Level 4 by 2030. Verizon says it is working beyond Levels 2 and 3 and aims at L4 “in the near future”.
The surveys put the claims in proportion. TM Forum’s survey of March 2026, which asked 125 people at 80 companies, found 21% at L3 or above overall, against 19% a year before. Bain’s survey of 22 operators with TM Forum found 20% at L4 or L5 “in select domains”. The AI-RAN Alliance had 132 members by February 2026 and has published reference architectures rather than measured results. And the GSMA’s benchmarks of language models on telecom tasks found that performance on turning an intent into a configuration “remains low, with top models scoring under 30”. That task, as it happens, is the one closest to an AI changing a network by itself.
China Mobile’s claim moved from L4 for almost all services by 2025 to L4 in 21 high-value scenarios in 2026, and nothing in the standard stopped it. TS 28.100 defines the level and says nothing about who may award it. Our advice is to treat an autonomy level as a self-assessment of a named scope, and to ask for the scope.
The terms, briefly
- NWDAF. Network data analytics function: the 5G core’s function for collecting data and producing statistics and predictions for other network functions.
- MDA. Management data analytics: the same idea in the management system, for coverage, faults and energy.
- One-sided and two-sided model. A one-sided model lives wholly in the phone or wholly in the network. A two-sided model is split across the link, so two vendors have to train it together.
- RIC, rApp, xApp. The RAN intelligent controller, in non-real-time and near-real-time forms; rApps run on the first, xApps on the second.
- L4. In TS 28.100, the level at which the system performs all execution, awareness, analysis and decision tasks itself.
Implications
Carrier strategist
Build on what is specified and implementable now. That means NWDAF with Release 18 accuracy monitoring, one-sided radio models, the Release 18 and 19 energy signalling, and TS 28.105 thresholds and fallback for anything that learns on the live network. Treat cross-vendor model sharing and third-party xApps as roadmap, because neither has a live deployment with a result behind it.
Investor
Expect no revenue line and little opening for new vendors from these standards. The AI in the RAN is bought from the incumbent, and the whole open-market record is one third-party rApp in a live network with no published result.
Vendor
Ship TS 28.105 degradation thresholds and fallback actions, and accuracy monitoring in the core, because a customer can now ask for them by name. State the scope behind any autonomy level you claim; a level without one will be read as a self-assessment, because that is what it is.
Method and limits
How this was built
We read the 3GPP content from the specifications themselves and from 3GPP’s own release descriptions, TR 21.916 to TR 21.919, taking version dates from the specification archive. Where the wording matters we quote it. O-RAN’s position comes from the Alliance’s publication note and from operator and vendor releases, and we count as adoption only what an operator has announced as live. The autonomy levels are defined from TS 28.100, and operator claims and targets are quoted as published, without adjustment.
What it does not show
A specification says what may be built, which is a different thing from what has been built. We read NWDAF, MDA and RIC deployments only from what operators announce, and an operator may well run more than it announces. Autonomy levels are self-assessed, often with a vendor as co-author, and they cannot be compared between operators. The 6G series covers the AI-native design of 6G, so it is not repeated here.
Data as of: 3GPP specifications and release descriptions to TR 21.919 v19.0.0, O-RAN and operator publications to September 2026, read 7 Oct 2026 · Method version 1.0.
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